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Sunday, November 19, 2006

Sorting Out the Top 15

Well, more than a few things happened Saturday that mean the Top 15 could have a bit of a different look this week. I am writing this introduction before I sort out the facts, but I am going to try and rank the Top 15 (really, I am looking to see who are the best one-loss teams) based on who they’ve beaten and who they’ve lost to. Obviously Ohio State is No. 1. From there, I am not so sure. I am going to try and incorporate some science into it (maybe a little math into a formula, as I am somewhat of a numbers guy) and there will be a little bit of your typical human element.

With that, I am about to embark on ranking these teams. Here is my Top 15

1 – Ohio State 5.6049
2 – Michigan 4.9125
3 – Florida 4.4971
4 – Arkansas 4.4394
5 – USC 4.2796
6 – Louisville 4.2606
7 – Boise State 4.1683
8 – Rutgers 3.9956
9 – Notre Dame 3.9447
10 – Wisconsin 3.9234
11 – Texas 3.8031
12 – LSU 3.7266
13 – West Virginia 3.7138
14 – Oklahoma 3.2516
15 – Auburn 3.1683

There is still a lot to play out over the next couple of weeks as Arkansas faces LSU and Florida. Florida obviously has Arkansas. USC and Notre Dame play each other. Rutgers and West Virginia still have to play. LSU and Arkansas. West Virginia and Rutgers. These rankings are bound to change. And even though I don't want to see it, a rematch of Ohio State and Michigan is likely based on my new, highly accurate (yet still unrefined) ranking system.

I’ve also decided that I think this formula could be pretty good, so I am going to work on tweaking and revising it to make it a little better and see how that goes. Who knows, maybe we’ll have a formula to use and be able to give you a Top 25 each week next season.

3 Comments:

  • At 9:12 PM EST, Anonymous Anonymous said…

    You realize that USC beat Arkansas, the team you have them ranked below. I could see how this might happen with a formula at work. Did you use the common (East Coast Bias*Pac-10 hateration)/(# of times you've actually watched a Pac-10 game)?

     
  • At 2:42 PM EST, Anonymous Anonymous said…

    you should publish your formula for this... I would like to know why you think USC is behind arkansas. I agree with you 100% and think rankings should reflect the team at present. Arkansas would sodomize booty and his trojans if they brought their junk up to the line again. But i'm curious how you came to this conclusion when the rest of the media hasn't? USC sucks!!!

     
  • At 6:34 PM EST, Blogger Steve Bernard said…

    Seattle Steve - Didn't you ever learn in math you can't divide by 0? Just kidding. I am going to post something regarding how I came up with my formula and why that ends up putting USC behind Arkansas (among others).

     

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