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Saturday, January 06, 2007

Playoffs? Playoffs? Let’s talk about the playoffs!

It’s wild-card weekend in the NFL and there are interesting matchups are plentiful. Division rivals the Jets and Patriots square off as do the Giants and the Eagles. One of the best running backs in the league goes up against one of the worst run defenses in the league. And a beleaguered secondary has to try and stop a solid receiving tandem.

Kansas City vs. Indianapolis – Larry Johnson will rush for 150 yards and two touchdowns in this game. But it won’t be enough. Indy’s passing attack will be too much for the mediocre Chiefs secondary. Peyton Manning might struggle in AFC Championship games, but this early in the playoffs against a team that barely managed to make it into the playoffs; he should be just fine. Manning will eclipse 300 yards and throw for at least three touchdowns. Trent Green is not fully healthy, yet the Chiefs will start him anyway. We’ll see how his ankle handles the turf in Indy.

Another factor that will hurt the Chiefs is the man patrolling the sidelines. Herm Edwards is not known for his in-game strategy and adjustments and he is known even less for his clock management. If this game is close down the stretch that could play a vital role. It should be a decent game with plenty of offense, but the Colts will take this one 31-24.

Dallas vs. Seattle – I think this is the most difficult game to project this week. Dallas has been shaky in recent weeks, but Seattle has not been much better. The Seahawks' secondary is absolutely decimated by injuries. Marcus Trufant, Kelly Herndon and Jimmy Williams are all out. That means rookie Kelly Jennings and safety Jordan Babineaux will be starting at cornerback. If Tony Romo can handle playing in one of the loudest stadiums in the league, the Cowboys could throw for a ton of yards this week. Terrell Owens has dropped more passes than any receiver this year, but he still had 85 receptions and 13 touchdowns. Oh, and Terry Glenn caught 70 passes and six touchdowns. That’s one of the best receiving tandems in the league.

Seattle will have to establish Shaun Alexander early and run a ton this week to win. They need to control the clock to keep their injured defense off the field. If the offensive line can establish itself against a solid defensive front four from Dallas, Seattle has a chance. Alexander needs at least 25 carries for the Seahawks to win. In the end, I have to give this one to Dallas in a nail-biter, 24-21.

New England vs. New York Jets – There is a lot of bad blood brewing between these two teams right now. Bill Belichick is not very well liked by the Jets and their fans (that’s a bit of an understatement). Eric Mangini did a great job with the Jets and the twice-repaired shoulder of Chad Pennington held up all year. Each team won one game against the other this year, with the road team winning both. Can the road team make it three in a row? I really want to say yes, but I don’t think it’s going to happen. The Patriots are playing extremely well and at home. The home-field advantage comes into play for this game. The Jets offense just won’t be able to muster enough against the Pats in this one. Tom Brady, despite not having great receivers, should throw for about 250-300 yards and a touchdown. Corey Dillon and Laurence Maroney provide too much in the running game for the Jets to handle, allowing the Pats to control time of possession. Patriots win 21-17.

Philadelphia vs. New York Giants – The Giants did everything they could to miss the playoffs, yet still made it (thanks to some suspect officiating last week against the Redskins along with two very untimely turnovers by the 'Skins). Eli Manning has shown just about no poise in pressure situations. Jeremy Shockey isn’t fully healthy and Plaxico Burress may or may not care about playing this week. Tiki Barber is the only strength of this Giants team right now.

And, well the Eagles are playing just about the best football in the league (certainly in the NFC) right now. Five straight wins to end the season, including three consecutive weeks on the road within the division shows the Eagles are ready for the playoffs. Jeff Garcia is playing like it’s the late 90s and he is still in San Francisco. After having no help in Cleveland (or at the end of his 49ers tenure for that matter), Garcia has some weapons to work with and he is proving he is still a winner. Brian Westbrook has been explosive out of the backfield in recent weeks for the Eagles as well. He rushed for 1,217 yards this season and caught 77 passes. If the Eagles can establish him early (by run or pass) – and they will – the Eagles should be moving on in the playoffs. The Eagles win this one 31-17.

Now, if I were filling out a hypothetical office pool and had to pick right through the rest of the playoffs, here are the picks I’d make. I’ll be back to preview games next week though, regardless of if my picks from this week are all correct (seriously doubtful).

Divisional Round
Indianapolis vs. Baltimore – I’ll take the Ravens
New England vs. San Diego – Give me the Chargers
Philadelphia vs. New Orleans (the de facto NFC Championship game) – I really have no idea at this time, so I’ll take a gamble on the home team Saints
Dallas vs. Chicago – Give me the Bears only because of their defense

Championship Week (notice how we have two games that pit great defense against great offenses? And, as the saying goes, defense wins championships…well not this year!)
Baltimore vs. San Diego – Chargers win
New Orleans vs. Chicago – I’ll take the Saints (though I very easily could be changing this to take the Eagles)

Super Bowl
San Diego vs. New Orleans – The Chargers are going to win the Super Bowl. Making trades that ended up giving the Chargers Phillip Rivers and LaDanian Tomlinson instead of Eli Manning and Michael Vick look pretty damn good right now.

What do you think? Post your comments and make your predictions below!

Photo Sources: kcchiefs.com, nfl.com

1 Comments:

  • At 3:53 PM EST, Anonymous Anonymous said…

    I told everyone who asked me that I didn't think Romo would be able to handle Qwest Field. However, I didn't know that Parcells would do his part, see video, to smack Romo around some more. Parcells really is a terrible coach.

     

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